Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.771684 0.883241 1.004321 1.145378 1.305070 1.480130 1.686463
2025-01-19 0.596491 0.746464 0.923136 1.146109 1.419488 1.743196 2.155024
2025-01-26 0.498972 0.677333 0.903641 1.210583 1.614635 2.126822 2.823636
2025-02-02 0.428378 0.626719 0.896092 1.286179 1.833707 2.571470 3.636915
2025-02-09 0.357345 0.560806 0.855237 1.308302 1.982905 2.944068 4.409523
2025-02-16 0.298073 0.499576 0.808950 1.312574 2.104365 3.291611 5.193410
2025-02-23 0.252018 0.449216 0.769158 1.317901 2.224974 3.650259 6.038569
2025-03-02 0.214008 0.404324 0.729561 1.315334 2.329878 3.994661 6.902606
2025-03-09 0.187302 0.373644 0.707864 1.337704 2.476503 4.420952 7.948715
2025-03-16 0.160583 0.337682 0.670503 1.325610 2.559829 4.748484 8.864777
2025-03-23 0.144025 0.318033 0.659459 1.358963 2.727413 5.239299 10.120513
2025-03-30 0.125500 0.290824 0.629267 1.350400 2.813950 5.591966 11.163946
2025-04-06 0.111819 0.271735 0.613029 1.368681 2.958139 6.074846 12.520433
2025-04-13 0.095905 0.244614 0.575681 1.337654 2.999126 6.364911 13.541686
2025-04-20 0.088675 0.236291 0.577681 1.391246 3.223240 7.043798 15.414625
2025-04-27 0.083413 0.231740 0.587417 1.463430 3.496872 7.854913 17.649757
2025-05-04 0.075205 0.218092 0.573663 1.479392 3.647774 8.425460 19.443734
2025-05-11 0.067114 0.203092 0.554116 1.478435 3.759526 8.923676 21.136764
2025-05-18 0.060222 0.189957 0.537012 1.480721 3.878871 9.451427 22.952422
2025-05-25 0.053859 0.176991 0.518144 1.475518 3.979065 9.946284 24.746903
2025-06-01 0.049412 0.168793 0.510674 1.498946 4.153552 10.632815 27.058929
2025-06-08 0.044077 0.156698 0.490350 1.484519 4.229010 11.091309 28.878924
2025-06-15 0.041053 0.151371 0.488479 1.521023 4.443027 11.910393 31.657920